Why Transformation Programmes Fail in Global Markets

Most transformation programmes in Global Markets do not fail dramatically. What happens in practice is quieter and more corrosive: the programme closes milestones, status packs stay amber at worst, and the steering committee receives a steady diet of activity rather than evidence.

By the time the outcome is assessed with any rigour, the benefits are diluted, the costs have overrun, the timeline has stretched and the operating model looks considerably less like ...

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FMCRComment
Making AI Work in Markets: Governance, Sequencing and the Path to Scaled Deployment

There is no shortage of AI ambition in global markets businesses. Trading floors, structuring desks, risk functions and operations teams all carry lists of use cases they want to pursue. The technology landscape is genuinely compelling: reinforcement learning for execution optimisation, large language models for client coverage and deal origination, adaptive surveillance models, real-time capital attribution tools. The direction of travel is …

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FMCRComment
Keeping up with AI – An AI Lexicon

In the rapidly developing AI space, it is increasingly difficult to keep up with the terminology, so the U.S. Treasury has released new AI governance resources through the Artificial Intelligence Executive Oversight Group (AIEOG) one of which is an AI Lexicon.

The Lexicon compiles commonly used risk management and technical terms that have specific meanings in the context of AI use in financial services. Definitions are drawn from a range ...

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Peter ManningComment
The FCA Consults on the Potential use of AGENTIC AI … but What Is It?

In 2024 I was commenting on an ISDA white paper that discussed the possible uses of the then new concept of ‘GenAI’ (or Generative AI to use its full title) in the derivatives market.

The world of AI has rapidly moved on and the FCA is now conducting a review on how AI might reshape retail financial services in the long-term. One of the areas the FCA will explore is the potential use of Agentic AI … but what is it? …

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Peter ManningComment
PRE-HEDGING – IOSCO Publishes Its Final Report

Following its consultation of November 2024, the International Organisation of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), the leading policy forum for securities regulators, has published its final report on pre-hedging and associated risks.

As a reminder, pre-hedging can be applied to a range of assets including equities, fixed-income, currencies and commodities. It is used by dealers to manage risks associated with anticipated wholesale principal orders in relation to primary market offerings and secondary market …

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Peter ManningComment
Risk Management and Business Performance: Why Separating Them is Breaking the Operating Model

In Markets businesses, risk management and business performance are often discussed as if they were related but fundamentally separate domains. Performance is something to be generated. Risk is something to be controlled. The two are connected rhetorically, but rarely analysed together in a way that shapes how the business is actually run.

That separation is no longer benign. …

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Jason RichardsonComment
Rebuilding Judgement in Markets

Over the past decade, Markets businesses have invested heavily in change. New operating models, new control frameworks, new technologies, new governance structures. On paper, many institutions are more sophisticated, more regulated and more tightly managed than at any point in their history.

And yet something critical has been quietly eroded in the process: judgement. …

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Jason RichardsonComment
Happy 40th Birthday ISDA – on its notable anniversary, we consider its recent report into The Uses and Value of Derivatives

As part of its 40th anniversary celebrations ISDA has published a new report on how the uses and value of derivatives have developed during its 40-year history.

Those of us with long enough memories will remember what a fast-moving, innovative and exciting time it was in those early years, when we wrestled with understanding and …

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Peter ManningComment
Basel III – Will it Ever Happen?

We are now some 16 years+ on from the financial crisis of 2008-9. However, Basel III - which is aimed to be a comprehensive set of international banking reforms designed off the back of the lessons learned from the crisis to fortify banks against future shocks - is still seemingly a big distance away from being fully implemented.

  • We've seen a stream of heavy criticism from the largest U.S. banks - those with assets …

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Peter ManningComment
Pre-Hedging: IOSCO publishes its long-awaited Consultation Report

Pre-hedging has long been seen as a notorious and controversial grey area in global regulatory terms, leading to different practices in different jurisdictions with different conduct risk outcomes.

As it is largely undefined, the International Organisation of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), the leading policy forum for securities regulators has published a valuable and …

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Peter ManningComment
Algorithmic Trading – The FCA Finds Shortcomings

The FCA has recently reviewed a sample of ten principal trading firms (PTF’s) who undertake algorithmic trading, to assess their compliance with MIFID Regulatory Trading Standard (RTS) 6. RTS 6 was introduced in 2018 as part of MIFID II, specifically addressing algorithmic and high frequency trading by requiring firms to implement stringent controls over trading activities to ensure robust risk management and market stability.

In their ‘Dear CEO’ letter of August 2023 the FCA said that algorithmic trading controls …

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Peter ManningComment
The FCA Findings on Market Abuse Surveillance and Data Governance

The FCA has released its latest newsletter in the series on market conduct and transaction reporting issues (Market Watch 79). 

This issue covers the highly complex matter of failure of market abuse surveillance systems caused by issues with factors such as data and automated alert logic. It also covers faults found in their recent peer review of firms’ testing of front-running surveillance models.

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Peter ManningComment
Best Practice – The Use of GenAI in the Derivatives Market

ISDA has published a white paper setting out its guidance for industry stakeholders, regulators and technology providers who are looking to harness the power of generative artificial intelligence, or 'genAI' as it’s known, in the over- the-counter (OTC) derivatives market.

Those not familiar with the term will be asking ‘what is genAI?’

GenAI is a novel set of algorithms that can automatically generate new content by synthesising existing content.

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Private Equity Financing – The PRA Demands Action

As part of the ongoing fallout of the collapse of Archegos Capital Management in 2021 the PRA has conducted a thematic review of private equity financing.

The PRA has published its findings in a ‘Dear Chief Risk Officer’ letter, which has been sent to all relevant CRO’s and backed up by a speech by Rebecca Jackson, Executive Director for the PRA’s Authorisations, RegTech, and International Supervision Directorate (ARTIS).

She opened her speech by highlighting how private equity had grown as an asset class from …

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A Ray of Light for Crypto in the UK!

In contrast to the EU, crypto assets have had a tougher time gaining acceptance in both the U.S. and the U.K. but there is now a distinct ray of light at the end of the tunnel in both countries.

Until January of this year the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (‘SEC’) and, in particular, Gary Gensler, its chair, had adopted a ‘just say no to crypto’ approach to crypto assets, deeming virtually every American crypto business activity conducted by the platforms as requiring registration with the SEC as a ‘security’ which would require them to follow the SEC’s complex security regulations.

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The FCA – Improvement still required in ICARA implementation.

Following its initial observations of February last year, the FCA has published a concluding report, on ICARA (Internal Capital Adequacy Risk Assessment) and IFPR (the Investment Firms Prudential Regime) reporting, bringing to a close the FCA’s multi-firm review.

Their review highlighted that, despite making progress, there are still areas for improvement around group ICARA processes, internal intervention points, wind-down assessments …

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Dividend Arbitrage (CumEx & CumCum) variant examples

CumEx is a complex subject and the variety of CumEx variants that were seemingly employed by traders can be bemusing. Below we outline some schemes which have appeared in the public domain.

It should be noted that there were also additional mechanisms seemingly adopted to further disguise the nature of the activity.

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FMCRComment
Fixed Income – the PRA requires action.

The fallout from the collapse of Archegos Capital in 2021 and the Liability Driven Investment (‘LDI’) crisis of last autumn rolls on with much of the recent focus on remedial work around the LDI liquidity problems.

In a recent ‘Dear Chief Risk Officer’ (‘CRO’) letter from the PRA to firms involved in the PRA’s planned thematic review of firms’ matched book repo businesses, the PRA explained that they …

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Peter Manning